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2007 Crystal Ball® User Conference Papers

DenverThe 2007 Crystal Ball User Conference was held May 21-23, 2007 at the Westin Tabor Center, in beautiful Denver, Colorado. The morning program for each day of the conference was devoted to user presentations. Presenters led 35-minute sessions that demonstrated a particular technique or application of Crystal Ball.


Case Studies
(click on any talk title for the PDF file)

Advances in Cost Estimating Relationship (CER) Development: Errors-in-Variables Regression (note: no formal paper is available for this talk, only the conference presentation)
Raymond Covert, Technical Director, MCR, LLC

Assessing the Economic Feasibility of the Waste to Energy Facility Using Crystal Ball
Boguslaw Bieda, Ph.D., AGH-University of Science and Technology

Basic Cost Risk Analysis: Using Crystal Ball on Government Life Cycle Cost Estimates
R. Kim Clark, Associate, Booz Allen Hamilton

Bridge Crossings of Al Reem Island, Abu Dhabi
Lim Eng Hwa, Manager (Traffic/Transport), Hyder Consulting Middle East Limited

Cash Flow at Risk – Electronic Chip Production
Alan E. Gorlick, Financial Consultant, University of Phoenix

Compound Process Simulation and Application to Insurance Modeling
Xin Cao, Senior Statistician, HSB Inspection & Insurance, Co.

Crystal Ball in Weather-Linked Derivatives Valuation
Jirí Hnilica, Ph.D., University of Economics, Prague

Development of Simulator to Improve Process Efficiency (in Steel Industry)
Jong Hag Jeon, Master Black Belt, POSCO

Estimating Time for Obtaining Environmental Permits in Brazil
Jackson Carvalho Guedes, Manager of Planning and Control, Petrobras S.A.

Improving Software Productivity using Lean Six Sigma Methods and Tools
Kevin Lehigh, Manager, BearingPoint (formerly Raytheon)

Monte Carlo Simulation as Process Control Aid
Dirk Jordan, Six Sigma Black Belt, Motorola

Monte Carlo Simulations for Risk Analysis in Pharmaceutical Product Design
Bir Gujral, PAT Coordinator, DSM Pharmaceuticals Inc.

The Next Generation of Financial Planning
Michael J. Patton, Personal CFO, Integrity Wealth Management, LLC

Optimizing Pharmaceutical Sales Forces Territories
Francisco J Zagmutt, Senior Risk Analyst, Vose Consulting

Quantifying Financial Risk in a Business Case
Michael Lionais, CMA, Manager Strategic Costing, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada

Risk Analysis of A Commercial Satellite Project To Determine Project Health
Tweed W. Ross III, Associate, Booz Allen Hamilton

Using Crystal Ball to Predict Human Performance
Eric Summons, Ph.D., Consulting Psychologist, Selection Resource

Using Open Crystal Ball for Environmental Modeling at the Hanford Site
Brett Simpson, Principal Investigator, Vivid Learning Systems
Charles T. Kincaid, Principal Investigator, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

 

 
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