| |
I have seasonality in my data. Which method is best
to use?
CB Predictor 1.0 has 4 seasonal time-series methods: Seasonal Additive,
Seasonal Multiplicative, Holt-Winter's Additive, and Holt-Winter's Multiplicative.
Seasonal Additive and Seasonal Multiplicative were designed to forecast
data with seasonality, but no trend. The Holt-Winter's methods were designed
to forecast data with seasonality and trend.
So, if you think your data is seasonal, but has no trend, you can try
Seasonal Additive and Seasonal Multiplicative. If you think your data
has both seasonality and trend, try the Holt-Winter's methods.
However, the best alternative is to select all the methods in the Method
Gallery (unless the length of time to run the forecast is very long),
to make sure that you don't rule out a method that works best for your
data.
Crystal Ball Predictor 1.0, 1.1, 1.2 Win 95, 98, NT 4.0, 2000 299107 03-29-99
10-18-00
|